Showing posts with label Joelle Eid. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Joelle Eid. Show all posts

Saturday, February 22, 2014

Arsal on a knife-edge

[Originally posted at NOW]

As Syrians flee new regime airstrikes, Arsal residents fear they may be next.

A girl from Qalamoun who arrived in Wadi Hmayed within the last week (NOW/Alex Rowell)

WADI HMAYED, Lebanon – High up in the rocky, khaki moonscape of the Anti-Lebanon mountains, to the east of the border town of Arsal, stands an army checkpoint that marks the de facto limit of the Lebanese state’s sovereignty. Beyond it lie a series of barren valleys that form a kind of lawless no-man’s-land, technically Lebanese soil but effectively annexed to the Syrian war zone, where regime air strikes, rebel rocket launches, and mutual ambushes and kidnappings happen on a regular basis. Because the Lebanese army itself has no presence in Wadi Hmayed, as the area is known, access is forbidden without special permission, and most international organizations, including the UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR), do not operate here.

And yet it is here that the bulk of the more than 10,000 new refugee arrivals from the adjacent Qalamoun region of Syria have settled in the past week, fleeing the intense bombardment of the nearby city of Yabrud to a few collections of tents erected by independent NGOs. They’re among the most vulnerable refugees in the country – none has registered with UNHCR so far, and many say they don’t want to – but, having made it out of Qalamoun, most said they were just grateful to be alive when NOW visited one of the camp sites Friday afternoon.

“Praise be to God,” said a remarkably cheerful old man, squatting on the gravel outside his tent, his six children and grandchildren sitting on slender mattresses inside. “We have everything we need here.”

“I haven’t showered since I arrived four days ago, and I have nothing but the clothes on my back, but praise be to God, we’re all happy here,” said a grinning adolescent at a second tent.

Asked what compelled them to leave Yabrud in the last week, they described scenes of immense and indiscriminate bombardment by the Syrian air force.

“The airplanes were bombing our houses, what else could we do?” said one young man, as a crowd gathered outside his tent. “We have kids they killed there. I saw a tank run over a six-year-old boy. And all the time they were dropping barrel bombs. There are still many people buried under the rubble.”

“Initially the regime said they were targeting ‘terrorists’,” said another young man. “But they killed more civilians than fighters.”

Although from Wadi Hmayed they are still close enough to Qalamoun to see the fighter jets on occasion, the refugees said they had no plans to move further inside Lebanon. Some, indeed, were not aware it was even an option – the old man, for instance, was surprised when NOW suggested he could relocate to the Beqaa Valley. As for registering with UNHCR, they were generally divided between those who didn’t know how to and those who didn’t want to.

“Where’s Zahle?” asked a young man unsarcastically, when NOW inquired whether he would be traveling to the UNHCR registration center there (the nearest one to Arsal). The ones who did know where Zahle was were often unwilling, however, to make the trip, fearing harassment or worse at the numerous army and Hezbollah checkpoints on the road from Arsal (NOW was stopped and searched on the return journey by the army, the army intelligence unit, and Hezbollah gunmen). Unless and until they register, they will have to make do with the basic aid UNHCR is able to provide them via its independent NGO partners, as well as what those NGOs themselves can offer. UNHCR spokesperson Joelle Eid told NOW this pre-registration aid includes hygiene and baby kits, stoves, blankets, fuel vouchers, food supplies, and medical assistance where needed.

Arsal in the crosshairs?

Back on the other side of the army checkpoint, in Arsal itself the tension sparked by recent events is palpable. It is this town, after all, that Hezbollah accuses of being the gateway through which car bombs, allegedly rigged in Syria, make their way inside Lebanon, where seven have exploded since the start of 2014 alone. Indeed, just 10 days ago, the army intercepted an explosives-laden car on its way out of Arsal.

For residents here, such accusations are part of a longstanding campaign to target the town for supporting the Syrian opposition. Last month, a rocket attack on the town center killed eight people, including six children, and though a claim of responsibility by the Syrian jihadist Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham group surfaced online, Arsal residents issued a statement pointing the finger at Hezbollah.

“We are being punished, because from day one we were the first to support the Syrian revolution, and to treat the Syrian wounded, and receive refugees,” the town’s Deputy Mayor Ahmad Fleeti tells NOW in his office, looking drained as he drags on a cigarette.

Asked about reports that Arsal’s outskirts, including Wadi Hmayed, could be the Syrian regime’s next target should it succeed in Yabrud, Fleeti shifts nervously in his seat.

“If there’s anything we fear, it’s regime airstrikes. We’re not afraid of Hezbollah, because we think they’re smarter than to invade Arsal. If Hezbollah invades Arsal, it will be a civil war for sure, so it’s more convenient for them to let Syria do the work. Yes, who knows, maybe the regime will do in Arsal what it’s doing in Syria.”

One of Arsal’s biggest problems, Fleeti argues, is its negative media image as a hostile “terrorist” hub, which has increasingly turned public opinion against it since the recent wave of car bombings began.

“We’re not takfiris here, we’re Lebanese, and we want to be under the state’s authority,” he tells NOW. “Arsal’s residents are paying with their own blood for all these explosions. Look at Abdallah Izz al-Din, who was an innocent victim killed in the most recent Bir Hassan bombs, and at first they suspected he was the suicide bomber because it can’t be that someone from Arsal is a victim.”

Nevertheless, the more than two years of brutal warfare in Syria have undoubtedly drawn a minority of Arsal’s more than 80,000 residents (some 60% of whom are now Syrians) in the direction of militant fundamentalist ideology. Black-and-white banners bearing Islamist calligraphy decorate the back windows of several cars cruising through the cramped streets. A number of men, especially the youth, groom their facial hair in the Salafist style. And in the tents in Wadi Hmayed, one refugee scarcely out of his teens gave an ominous reply when asked what would happen if the regime succeeded in its Yabrud offensive.

“If the regime wins, all of us young men will go and join the jihad.”

Some names have been withheld at the interviewees’ requests.

Yara Chehayed contributed reporting.

Thursday, February 13, 2014

New Qalamoun offensive may further destabilize Lebanon

[Originally posted at NOW]

The battle for Yabrud has already brought new refugees, and may further fuel jihadist attacks.

When in November 2013 the Syrian regime and its allies began their determined campaign to conquer Qalamoun, the rocky highlands extending for some 70km along the Syrian-Lebanese border, there was always inevitably going to come a day of reckoning for the town of Yabrud, the comparatively developed and prosperous multi-faith “capital” of the strategic region.

That day appeared to arrive Wednesday, as regime shelling of the rebel-held town – underway since Friday – escalated into at least a dozen air strikes, according to local residents, international monitors, and fresh video footage. “The battle has begun,” said Qalamoun-based media activist Omar al-Qalamouni to NOW. “And it’s going to be bloody.”

Indeed, observers point to several factors that suggest the coming offensive will be especially intense. Beyond Yabrud’s symbolic value, it’s also one of the last remaining lifelines connecting rebels in Qalamoun to allies in the adjacent Lebanese town of Arsal. “Controlling Yabrud, from the regime’s perspective, means cutting the path to Arsal,” said Qalamouni. The rebels’ continued dominance over the town also threatens the regime’s hold on the arterial Damascus-Homs highway.

Moreover, the prominent regime ally Hezbollah has made its own case for the significance of holding Yabrud. In a speech Friday, the Party’s deputy secretary-general, Naim Qassem, claimed the town was “the original source of the explosive-rigged cars” that have targeted Lebanese civilian centers in recent weeks. Whether or not this is in fact true, it suggests Hezbollah will play an active role in the coming battle, said Qalamouni.

“Hezbollah will surely participate, because it’s mainly their battle. They’re the ones advertising it,” he told NOW.

The general strategy of the regime and its allies will likely take the form of fierce aerial bombardment followed by a ground campaign, according to Charles Lister, Visiting Fellow at the Brookings Doha Center.

“The Syrian military has perfected a strategy of imposing a sustained level of bombardment on an area and its surroundings in order to flush out civilians and pave the way for a ground assault targeting any fighters that remain,” Lister told NOW. “As such, artillery and air strikes will likely continue to intensify in the next day or two and clashes around the town will steadily escalate to the point at which an actual offensive begins en masse on the town itself.”

As against this, it’s unclear what, if anything, the opposition can do to meaningfully check the offensive once it’s in full swing. According to both Lister and a source who has recently visited Yabrud several times, the vast majority of rebels in the town belong to local, comparatively ill-equipped brigades, as opposed to the more effective forces such as Jabhat al-Nusra and Ahrar al-Sham which preponderate elsewhere (though the latter groups, Lister believes, may later decide to join the fight in Yabrud). The most probable overall strategy, says Lister, will be to try and divert the regime’s attention away from the town to whatever extent possible.

“As in the past, rebels in the wider Qalamoun region will seek to carry out diversionary operations in an attempt to force a division of military personnel away from Yabrud,” he told NOW. “Targeted attacks on military positions, car bombings, and suicide attacks are all possible.”

Adding to Lebanon’s woes

Lebanon was never likely to avoid feeling the effects of such a significant battle so close to its border, and indeed, Yabrud residents have already started arriving in Arsal seeking refuge, according to UN Refugee Agency spokesperson Joelle Eid. Should the population in Yabrud and its surroundings become entirely displaced, Arsal may be faced with a new influx numbering in the tens of thousands, according to the aforementioned source, who requested anonymity as he was not authorized to talk to the press.

“Approximately, we’re talking about some 70,000 residents who would move in the direction of Damascus, and perhaps 50,000 who could end up in Arsal,” he told NOW.

The refugee burden, however, may not be the worst of the repercussions for Lebanon. Reports earlier this week of Hezbollah’s preparation for Yabrud fuelled concerns among some analysts of a consequent increase in reprisal attacks on Lebanese civilians carried out by extremist Islamists. A number of groups with ties to Syrian jihadist brigades, such as Jabhat al-Nusra in Lebanon and the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS), have claimed responsibility for deadly explosions and suicide bombings in predominantly Shiite areas of the country in recent weeks, typically justifying them as responses to Hezbollah’s intervention in Syria.

“A defeat [for the rebels in Yabrud] could potentially encourage further retaliatory attacks inside Lebanon, both in the Beqaa and in Beirut,” Lister told NOW, “although it should be noted that the motivation for such attacks already exists.”

Indeed, with five vehicle explosions in Lebanon in 2014 alone – four of them claimed by jihadist groups – there has already been unprecedented appetite among Sunni extremists for the kind of wanton slaughter of Shiite civilians more readily associated with Baghdad than Beirut.

And if Wednesday’s discovery by the Lebanese army of two cars rigged to explode – one of them in Arsal itself – is anything to go by, that appetite is showing little sign of abating any time soon.

Luna Safwan contributed reporting.

Monday, November 4, 2013

Before the floods

[Originally posted at NOW]

The UN estimates at least 10,000 Syrian refugees living in tents in Lebanon will soon face flooding.

The center of the unofficial Nahiriyeh camp, near the Beqaa town of Bar Elias (NOW/Alex Rowell)
BAR ELIAS, Lebanon – Arriving at what locals call the “Nahiriyeh camp,” erected on a rectangular patch of gravelly sand hidden among the agrarian fields of the central Beqaa Valley, NOW briefly received a hero’s welcome on Thursday morning. The residents – Syrian refugees from Qusayr and elsewhere in Homs Province – crowded around the car, eagerly asking if we had come to hand out aid. The hope in their eyes quickly drained when we said we were only journalists, and most walked away, heads bowed, muttering under their breath. Those who stayed wasted no time in reeling off a long list of grievances: serious healthcare needs they couldn’t pay for; children denied places at schools; dangerously unclean drinking water; lack of diapers for newborns.

And yet, unenviable as living conditions for Nahiriyeh’s several hundred residents already are, they are soon to get much worse. It has begun to rain in Lebanon in the past fortnight, and though predictions of the harshest winter in a hundred years may be unreliable, snow will nevertheless cover much of the Beqaa in the coming winter months, which is grim news for the more than 270,000 Syrian refugees that the UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR) has accounted for in the agricultural plain. Especially vulnerable are the more than 80,000 refugees UNHCR estimates are living in what it calls informal tented settlements (ITS), which are makeshift camps in all but name (unlike Jordan and Turkey, Lebanon does not officially have Syrian refugee camps). Of these settlements, UNHCR says 12% are located in flood-prone areas, which means at least 9,600 refugees will be living in flooded tents once the rain season gets fully underway.

Nahiriyeh’s residents will be among them. Invited inside the home of Umm Ahmad, a warm-spirited grandmother from Qusayr, NOW saw few means by which the family of eight would be able to escape the rain and snow. The roof comprised cardboard box panels supported by wooden beams. The walls were carpets held in place with nails. The floor was a mat thrown over an uneven, cracked layer of concrete; unprofessionally put in place by the refugees themselves. The only furniture, such as it was, consisted of a ring of uncomfortably thin mattresses, functioning as seats, children’s play areas, and beds. Asked how she planned to cope with the coming winter, Umm Ahmad could only laugh: “What you see is what we have.”

Nor were things better in Umm Muhammad’s slightly larger dwelling around the corner. Here, the roof had been fashioned out of woven rice sack material, some of which had begun to fray already. “Look at this,” she told NOW as her children looked on silently. “When it rains, this place is going to fill up.”

In anticipation of these humanitarian disasters-in-waiting, UNHCR and its NGO partners are building on the experiences of the past two winters since the outbreak of the Syrian crisis, and have been working on a so-called ‘winterization’ plan since the summer, according to UNHCR spokesperson Joelle Eid.

“In the Beqaa, we have around 280 informal settlements at risk of flooding,” Eid told NOW. “As soon as you have a lot of rain, the floor turns into mud, and those tents are at risk of flooding.” One planned response involves identifying all flood-prone locations, and then re-locating the refugees within them either to shelters or to Lebanese host families (who would then receive compensation from UNHCR), wherever possible.

A parallel initiative, which Eid told NOW has already started, is the distribution of “sealing kits” to refugees – that is, materials with which flood-prone homes could be sufficiently fortified to keep out the wet. Moreover, Eid added that distribution of winter-specific aid, such as warm clothing, blankets, mattresses, and heating fuel “will start in the coming weeks.”

However, Nahiriyeh’s residents – who say they are burning cardboard indoors to stay warm at night – are unconvinced they will see much aid come their way.

“We’ve been promised many things for the winter, but so far there has been nothing.”

Luna Safwan contributed reporting.